State of the Art in Telecoms Forecasting Methods
Published 28 September 2007
State of the Art in Telecoms Forecasting Methods
IIR Conference on Telecoms Market Forecasting, London, UK
Professor Robert Fildes of the Lancaster Centre for Forecasting gave the keynote opening speech "Analysing Key Forecasting Techniques And Evaluating Their Suitability For Different Types Of Telecoms Forecasting" on Telecoms Market Forecasting at the IIR’s 16th Annual Conference on Telecoms Market Forecasting, held Tuesday 25th - Friday 28th September 2007, at the Hilton Olympia, London. In his talk he appraised the various methods that are applied in delivering effective forecasts in this fast moving industry. His talk evaluated in detail:
- The pros and cons of key forecasting methodologies and techniques:
- quantitative – time series analysis, correlation and regressive, extrapolative, causal
- qualitative – judgmental, consensus, scenario planning
- Comparing the suitability of different techniques depending on your forecast
- market share analysis
- new service take up modelling
- traffic patterns and predictions
- New technology demand and penetration
- Determining which method will provide the most accurate results
- Understanding which forecasting techniques can be combined to deliver
more accurate approaches
For further details, see www.iir-conferences.com/forecasting or contact Prof. Robert Fildes.
